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Madagascar

With a cumulative score of 1.54, Madagascar ranks number 47 among emerging markets and number 76 in the global ranking.

  • Emerging markets
  • Middle East & Africa

1.97 / 5

Power score


0.54 / 5

Transport score


 

Buildings score


Only 56 markets (28 emerging markets) are scored on the Buildings sector. See the full list on the methodology page.


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Low-carbon strategy

Net-zero goal and strategy

Madagascar does not have a net-zero target or strategy in place.

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

The country’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) – meaning its plan to help achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement – aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 14% by 2030 versus a business-as-usual scenario from 2000 levels. The sectors being targeted for mitigation are energy, agriculture, waste, and land use.

Fossil fuel phase-out policy

Madagascar does not have a fossil-fuel phase-out policy.

Power

Power policy

Madagascar does not have a legislated clean energy target, although it is aiming for 85% of power generation to come from renewables by 2030, consisting of 75% hydro, 5% solar and 5% wind. The country’s current electricity generation mix is dominated by 1,039 megawatts (MW) of oil and diesel sources, followed by 790MW from small hydro plants, 30MW from natural gas, 26MW from biomass and 15MW from solar. Renewables projects are given priority grid access.

The government has big plans to fully tap into Madagascar’s clean energy potential, such as through the upcoming 192MW Sahofika hydropower project and 120MW Volobe hydropower station. It also aims to hybridize all grid-connected thermal power plants with solar.

The government is looking to install around 100MW of new renewables across 2015-2030 – a target that likely excludes large hydro. In 2018, a 20MW solar project was commissioned by state-owned utility Jirama and the government held a tender for 25MW of solar with storage supported by the World Bank's Scaling Solar program. These are the most tangible signs of progress towards the country’s renewables goal. While the government can hold tenders for energy projects under the 2017 Electricity Code, no new auctions have been held since the solar PV tender in 2018.

Madagascar is trying to encourage private sector investment in renewables capacity, particularly as it looks to improve access to electricity. It has eliminated import tariffs and value-added tax on solar technology.

A national electrification strategy is currently under development as a continuation of the National Energy Policy introduced in 2015. The 2015-2030 National Energy Policy is extremely ambitious and aims for 70% of the population to have access to electricity and modern lighting by the end of this decade. Some 70% of this target is based on extending the power grid, 20% on building mini-grids and 10% on individual off-grid solutions. While there are grid extension plans, they are not publicly available.

Madagascar also announced in March 2019 that it is working with the World Bank to bring electricity access to a minimum of 1.7 million people by the end of 2023.

Power policies

Renewable energy auction
Feed-in Tariff
Import tax incentives
Net Metering
Renewable energy target
VAT incentives

Power prices and costs

The government subsidizes electricity through the subsidy of fuel. The electricity distribution tariffs offered by Jirama are also subsidized, although the state-owned utility plans to gradually increase them. Last year, there was a substantial hike in tariffs.

The direct retail of electricity to industrial and commercial users can be priced bilaterally. Residential customers have seen power prices jump by 29% year-on-year in 2022.

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Power market

Independent power producers (IPPs) can sell their electricity to state utility Jirama, which is the sole offtaker for Madagascar’s main grid. However, in the private market, IPPs represent just 6.5% of electricity production and the remainder is accounted for by private suppliers in rural areas.

The country’s power sector has been open to IPPs for over a decade and there is a clear intention to attract more private and international investment. The World Bank has helped develop a standard power purchase agreement (PPA) template to use. In July 2021, Rio Tinto signed a corporate PPA for solar and wind to power the operations of its ilmenite mine in Southern Madagascar.

In terms of generation, for projects that are smaller than 5MW, no public tender needs to be issued. Instead, negotiation happens directly between the producer and buyer. For projects over 5MW, a public tender must be issued and this process is overseen by ADER, the country’s rural electrification agency. ADER plans to tender a selection of sites for all regions in Madagascar until the end of 2022.

The retail of electricity can be conducted by independent companies through direct sales or within rural electrification concessions. However, experience in this segment remains limited.

Installed Capacity (in MW)

2012201420162018202002004006008001K MW

Electricity Generation (in GWh)

2012201420162018202005001K1.5K2K GWh
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Utility privatisation

Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?


Generation
Transmission
Retail

Wholesale power market

Does the country have a wholesale power market?


Available
Not available

Doing business and barriers

Navigating administrative processes and land acquisition can be difficult and lengthy in Madagascar. Moreover, access to financing is generally complicated. The country’s financial sector is not well developed and the lack of de-risking financial mechanisms, such as capital subsidies, guarantees and soft loans, makes it difficult to attract private investment at a large scale.

The quality of the grid can also cause issues for larger projects, which is why most solar developers are encouraged to not only include storage in their projects, but also to finance their own connection to the grid. While the ADER and the Board of Electricity Regulation monitor and enforce clear rules on grid interconnections, there is currently no publicly available data on grid extensions to help developers plan for the medium to long term.

Furthermore, the distance of potential wind sites to villages adds an extra expense for transport lines, resulting in increased costs for wind energy development. Also, since houses in rural areas are spread out throughout villages, distribution costs are higher, adding an additional obstacle in light of households’ low payment capacity. The wind sector needs scale to be able to evolve faster than demand. It has been growing steadily for the past few years, even during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Owing to difficulties in collecting tariff payments, companies in Madagascar’s utility sector – including public ones – are heavily indebted. Jirama, which is the sole off-taker on the main grid, is under considerable financial stress and generators have been paid in treasury bonds. The growth of renewables in the mix should improve Jirama’s financial health.

The main obstacle to retailing off-grid electrification products continues to be the low income of the target population. There are also administrative barriers. According to the 2017 Electricity Code, distributors of solar equipment under 10 kilowatts (kW) must fill out a simplified declaration form on behalf of their customers and submit it to the Authority for Power Regulation (ARE). For solar installations between 10-150kW, they must fill out a proper declaration form and submit an environmental impact assessment.

Currency of PPAs

Are PPAs (eg. corporate PPAs and all other types) signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Subsidies

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel price distortions - Taxes

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes or carbon prices?


Available
Not available

Transport

EV market

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the electric vehicle market remains at an early stage.

EV policy

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector.

Transport policies

Electric vehicle target
Electric vehicle purchase grant or loan incentive
VAT incentives for EV
Import tax incentives for EV
EV charging infrastructure target
EV charging infrastructure support

Fuel economy standards

Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?


Available
Not available

Buildings

Buildings market

Madagascar’s climate means the focus is on cooling rather than heating buildings. The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support to improve the energy efficiency and carbon intensity of these efforts.

Energy efficiency policy

Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency policy

Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency incentives

Is there access to loans or grants for energy efficiency measures (i.e. Wall or loft insulation or double glazing)?


Available
Not available

Buildings policy

There are no specific laws.

Buildings policies

Low-carbon heat target/roadmap
Tax credits
Boiler scrappage schemes
Heat pumps purchase grants/loans incentive
Ban on boilers: new build homes
Ban on boilers: all homes

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